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ASA NEWSLETTER
 
 
May 1996
Volume 60
Number 5
 

National Residency Matching Program (NRMP): Results for Anesthesiology, 1996

Alan W. Grogono, M.D.


NRMP Results for Medical Schools (Table 1)
Declining recruitment via the National Residency Matching Program (NRMP) has been reviewed in a series of articles in the ASA NEWSLETTER over the last three years.1-3 The results for 1996 show a continuation of this decline [Figure 1, page 25]. For many years, the principal source of recruitment into our specialty has been graduating seniors from U.S. medical schools. Recently, there has been a steady decline in the number of graduating seniors recruited into anesthesiology from the high of 945 (6.78 percent) in 1991 to the low this year of 169 students out of the total of 14,543 in the match (1.16 percent). This represents 40 percent of the number of U.S. seniors recruited in 1995.

NRMP Results for Residency Programs (Table 2)
Total graduates recruited via the match into anesthesiology fell by another 211 this year to 325 [Figure 2, page 25]. The number of residency positions that training programs offered was reduced by 197 to 946 this year. This reduction was not proportional to the fall in the number of applicants and, as a result, the number of positions matched fell to 34.3 percent.

NRMP Results for Applicants (Tables 3 and 4)
The preference expressed by NRMP applicants is reflected in the ranking that they provided. In 1996, there were 183 U.S. graduates who ranked anesthesiology as either their first choice or as an alternative; 174 ranked anesthesiology as their first choice, and a total of 169 matched. The comparable figures one year ago were: 454 ranked anesthesiology, with 432 making it their first choice and 423 actually matching. Although there is an overall reduction in applicants, the proportions are similar.

International Medical Graduates
(Tables 3, 4 and 5)

The number of international medical graduates ranking anesthesiology as their first choice rose from 114 in 1995 to 175 in 1996. This is now the largest group ranking anesthesiology as their first choice. Actually recruited through the match, however, American graduates (169) still predominate over all the other groups combined (156), which is composed of international medical graduates (141), osteopaths (14) and Canadians (1).

As in recent years, it is almost certain that the final number as well as the distribution of residents will be influenced most by the recruitment that occurs outside the match. If recent trends continue, the proportion of international medical graduates in residency programs will rise further this year.

Trends in Programs (Table 6)
Voluntary reduction in recruitment via the match is now evident. The number of positions offered (946) is 68 percent of the peak (1,386) offered in 1993. In addition, there has been a critical reduction in the number of positions offered in programs matching completely. In 1994, 40 programs that completely matched absorbed 394 (47 percent) of the applicants. In 1995, 18 programs absorbed 178 (33 percent), and in 1996, 15 absorbed 93 (28 percent).

Because so few programs filled completely, candidates had a greater chance of obtaining a position in their program of choice. Alone, the data would also appear to suggest that diminishing recruitment distributes applicants more uniformly. However, closer examination shows the reverse [Table 7, page 24]; only 19 programs (those who this year took six candidates or more) absorbed more than half (52 percent) of the matched applicants, which is a greater proportion than in recent years (in 1995, the top 19 took 44 percent; in 1994, 37 percent). Therefore, it appears that a decline in the number of applicants promotes uneven distribution of new residents in favor of the larger programs.

The number of programs recruiting no applicants through the match has risen from 19 in 1994, to 36 in 1995 and to 44 this year. The number of positions sought via the match by these unfilled programs rose during these three years from 82 to 210.

Comment
The dilemma posed by declining opportunities for anesthesiologists and the implications for current graduating residents have generated both concern and discussion. This discussion has effectively operated to discourage recruitment at the resident level and probably explains the trends reported here. Reduction was regarded as desirable in the light of the reduced need for our services anticipated in the Abt Associates Inc. report, "Estimation of Work Force Requirements in Anesthesiology." The magnitude of this reduction, however, and its implications demand careful evaluation.

The forces that discouraged students from entering the specialty have almost certainly also discouraged potential future leaders and researchers from joining us. As an army, we appear to have adopted the remarkable strategy of preparing for future battles by promoting a decline in numbers, and thus, a fall in strength. If we fail to address the current trickle of American medical graduates entering our specialty, a future shortage of strong U.S. leaders at every level appears to be inevitable. We are going to face stiff competition regardless of our strategies; stifling recruitment will not eliminate our competitors. Continuing success for anesthesiology and patient care demands that we always recruit and that we recruit the best graduates.

References:
1. Grogono AW. Medical student recruitment: Match results for anesthesiology, 1990-93. ASA NEWSLETTER. 1993; 57(8):35-38.
2. Grogono AW. Medical student recruitment: Match results for anesthesiology, 1990-94. ASA NEWSLETTER. 1994; 58(5):25-27.
3. Grogono AW. Recruitment, residency size and match results for anesthesiology, 1995. ASA NEWSLETTER. 1995; 59(6):24-27.

 


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