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ASA NEWSLETTER
 
 
May 1998
Volume 62
Number 5
 

National Residency Matching Program (NRMP) 1998: A Further Increase for Anesthesiology, Especially From U.S. Graduates

Alan W. Grogono, M.D



Recruitment via the National Residency Matching Program (NRMP) has been reviewed in a series of articles in the ASA NEWSLETTER (August 1993, May 1994, June 1995, May 1996 and May 1997). The article last year summarized the dramatic swings that occurred in these five years and reviewed changes in our priorities and attitudes. This year's results, both for graduates entering the Match and for anesthesiology residency programs, are summarized below.

NRMP Results for U.S. Graduates in 1998 [Table 1]

This year, from U.S. allopathic medical schools, 388 graduating seniors entered anesthesiology, an increase of 53 percent compared to 1997 and 130 percent more than 1996. The number of these students entering at the PGY-1 level rose from 80 to 118, and the number entering at the CA-1 level rose from 173 to 270. When graduates from other sources are included, the total number recruited rose from 497 to 645, a 30-percent increase. This growth occurred almost entirely in the number of U.S. graduates recruited. The trends in distribution for the last nine years are shown in Figure 1. In this graph, the top section of each column is principally comprised of international medical graduates (see section on Composition).

The number of positions offered through the Match declined from an all-time high of 1,386 in the year 1993 to 946 in 1996 [Figure 2]. The number of positions unfilled continued to rise from 456 in 1993 to a maximum of 622 in 1996. This year, there were 1,008 positions available, but the number unfilled fell to 363.

Composition of Recruits via the Match [Table 2]

Last year, the rise in the number of U.S. graduates was accompanied by a comparable growth in the number of international medical graduates (IMGs), from 130 to 213. This year, the number of IMGs has declined to 201 (-5.6 percent) in contrast to the 53-percent increase in U.S. graduates. Recruitment from other categories remains relatively small. The number of osteopathic students rose from 7 to 17, and the number of U.S. citizen IMGs again rose from 22 to 34. The number of Canadian graduates (0 last year), has rocketed up to two.

Distribution of Recruits [Table 2]

As a specialty, we appear to be particularly sensitive to the risk, or even the appearance, of being unable to recruit U.S. graduates and, therefore, of disproportionately recruiting IMGs. The best yardstick is probably provided by the relative percentages of the available pools being recruited. Thus, in 1996, 1.16 percent of U.S. graduating allopathic students were recruited, while 1.81 percent of the noncitizen IMGs were recruited.

In 1997, recruitment into the specialty had risen slightly, but the relative distribution remained almost unaltered. This year, however, shows a major reversal. The percentage of U.S. graduates recruited has risen to 2.65 percent, while the percentage of IMGs (2.51 percent) has fallen and is now smaller than U.S. graduates (i.e., recruitment via the Match does not support the hypothesis that there is disproportionate recruitment of IMGs).

Regional Distribution [Table 3]

Similar to last year, the data are ranked by state for the number recruited via the Match. This year, the two largest totals, California (91) and Texas (54), accounted for 22 percent of all candidates. The next three states recruiting were Massachusetts (51), New York (43) and Florida (34). Between these top five states, a total of 273 candidates were recruited (42 percent).

Comment

Perhaps the single most important lesson about physician demographics during these last five years has been the power of the marketplace. It is almost as though the medical students themselves are our best barometer. All over the country, they learn from us, they learn quickly and they learn early and well. When we fear that positions may be scarce, we transmit this fear to students, and the same students provide prompt correction for our recruitment.

In this context, the return of U.S. graduates must reflect greater confidence that positions are available now and will be so in the future. Certainly, as other specialties fill up, anesthesiology has many attractive features. One of the most compelling must be that a majority of the public appears to prefer having a physician in charge of their anesthesia* and about 90 percent of the anesthetics are currently medically supervised or administered directly by anesthesiologists. Significant unemployment for physician anesthesiologists is difficult to imagine in the foreseeable future.

Acknowledgment

It is a pleasure to thank William Teel of the NRMP for extracting the data and making it available so promptly. Without such help, timely production of this article would be impracticable.

* Based on an independent survey conducted in January 1998 by The Tarrance Group, Washington, D.C., 81 percent of seniors 65 and older do not want the Health Care Financing Administration to eliminate its current requirement for physician supervision of nurse anesthetists for Medicare/Medicaid patients.


Alan W. Grogono, M.D., is Chair and Merryl and Sam Israel Professor, Department of Anesthesiology, Tulane University School of Medicine, New Orleans, Louisiana.

 


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